- Observe
- Think
- Decide
- Outcome
- Learn
RiskNormal
Chairman feed
Simulated positionsPortfolio
Opportunity intelligenceATLAS STATE → WHY → RISK → ACTION · by opportunity, not ticker
| Opportunity | ATLAS state | Why | Risk | Action | Book | Contract |
|---|
Prediction intelligenceResearch architecture · no fabricated probabilities or outcomes
Shadow readinessTechnical and governance prerequisites · simulation only
Portfolio · simulated
Closed
Wallet intelligenceResearch lane · demo cohort · Wallet Alpha is a research metric, not predictive science
| Wallet | Wallet Alpha | Early | Repeatable | Followable | Realized | Independent | Samples | Qualified |
|---|
Post-detection alphaOpportunity remaining after ATLAS could observe the wallet · net of demo costs
cohort median ·
Provenance
| Sample | Wallet | Observed | Detected | Entry | Entry px | Exit px | Gross | Net |
|---|
Wallet decisions
Decision ledger
Risk
Gate evaluationscurrent + proposed = post-order, before any simulated fill
SystemEngineering view · demo
Authority · access · capability
Institutional pipeline
- Evidence
- Judgment
- Probability
- Risk
- Decision
- Execution
- Outcome
- Learning
Venues
Counters · demo
Edge ledger · foundation · no edge is claimed until prospective evidence earns it
| Hypothesis | Book | Observations | Opportunities | Actions | Abstain | Block | Outcomes | Net shadow P&L | vs baseline | Qualification |
|---|
Acceptance A–L · regression R1–R30 · adversarial 1–10 · builder evidence
ATLAS Command · v3.2 · opportunity intelligence · Shadow research candidateDemo simulation · no venue connected · no real capital · nothing executes